Czech, Katarzyna; Wielechowski, Michał - In: Risks : open access journal 14 (2026) 4, pp. 1-14
two U.S.-centred events, treated as different shock types, influence time-varying conditional correlations between the U …. We employ a DCC-GARCH model to jointly estimate conditional variances and dynamic correlations for six USA-G7 pairs. The … show only small changes. By contrast, the tariff action shock significantly increases conditional correlations across all …