The availability of high-frequency trading data and developments in computing technology make it possible to evaluate Intraday Value-at-Risk (IVaR), a useful risk management tool for investors and regulators. In this paper, we propose a new model to evaluate and predict the IVaR for stocks based...

We investigate a new family of distributionally robust optimization problem under marginal and copula ambiguity with applications to portfolio optimization problems. The proposed model considers the ambiguity set of portfolio return in which the marginal distributions and their copula are close...

This paper defines asymptotic marginal expected shortfall (AMES) for banks within a financial system and provides corresponding estimation method based on multivariate extreme value theory. The estimation method does not assume a specific dependence structure among bank equity returns. Both...

Estimating the market risk is conditioned by the fat tail of the distribution of returns. But the tail index depends on the threshold of this distribution fat tail. We propose a methodology based on the decomposition of the series into positive outliers, Gaussian central part and negative...

This paper studies dynamic programming for quantile preference models, in which the agent maximizes the stream of the future τ-quantile utilities, for τ ∈ (0,1). We suggest numerical methods, based on value function iterations, for solving the quantile recursive dynamic programming, and...

How to detect different tail behaviors of two risk random variables with the same mean is an important task. In this paper, motivated by Burzoni et al. (2022), a class of convex risk measures, called as adjusted higher-order Expected Shortfall (ES), is introduced and studied. The adjusted risk...

In this study, we respond to the criticism that the value-at-risk (VaR) measure fails during financial crises and is only applicable during periods without asset price bubbles. We propose a new dating mechanism that is based on the work of Phillips (2015) to date-stamp the origination and...

Modeling futures market risk simultaneously influenced by macro low-frequency information and daily risk factors is a valuable challenge. We propose a new general framework for it based on the flexible GARCH-MIDAS model. It uses a skewed t distribution to describe the asymmetry of long and short...

Dependent Tail Value-at-Risk, abbreviated as DTVaR, is a copula-based extension of Tail Value-at-Risk (TVaR). This risk measure is an expectation of a target loss once the loss and its associated loss are above their respective quantiles but bounded above by their respective larger quantiles. In...