The issue of model risk in default modeling has been known since inception of the Academic literature in the field. However, a rigorous treatment requires a description of all the possible models, and a measure of the distance between a single model and the alternatives, consistent with the...

This paper investigates the impact of Contingent Convertible (CoCo bonds) on systemic risk. Based on the network and liquidity channel, we compare the differences in default contagion and clearing payment between financial systems with and without CoCo bonds. By analyzing the sensitivity of...

This paper studies a non-concave optimization problem under a Value-at-Risk (VaR) or an Expected Shortfall (ES) constraint. The non-concavity of the problem stems from the non-linear payoff structure of the optimizing investor. We obtain the closed-form optimal wealth with an ES constraint as...

Systemic risk is of concern for economic welfare as systemic financial crisis has the potential to inefficiently lower the supply of credit to the nonfinancial sector. Conventional systemic risk measures are parsimonious in nature and are used to assess the current systemic risk contributions of...

Cumulative Prospect Theory (CPT) is rooted in behavioural psychology and has demonstrated to possess sufficient explanatory power for use in actual deci­ sion-making problems. In this study, two distinct asset classes (i.e. assets with extremely lower or higher CPT values) are classified and...

The efficient-market hypothesis (EMH) is one of the most important economic and financial hypotheses that have been tested over the past century. Due to many abnormal phenomena and conflicting evidence, otherwise known as anomalies against EMH, some academics have questioned whether EMH is...

In this note we present an updated algorithm to estimate the VAR with stochastic volatility proposed in Mumtaz (2018). The model is re-written so that some of the Metropolis Hastings steps are avoided.

In this paper, we provide an axiomatic approach to general premium priciples giving rise to a decomposition into risk, as a generalization of the expected value, and deviation, as a generalization of the variance. We show that, for every premium priciple, there exists a maximal risk measure...