Selaive, Jorge; R, Vicente Tuesta - Banco Central de Reserva del Perú - 2005
-term trend in consumption, asset wealth, and labor income (hereby, consumption-wealth ratio) is a strong predictor of the excess … returns. In this paper, we study the role of the consumption-wealth ratio in predicting the change in the nominal exchange … rate of a large set of countries. We find evidence that fluctuations in the consumption-wealth ratio help to predict in …