This study creates the threshold vector autoregression model and employs quarterly data of Taiwan from 1981 to 2006 to examine the relationship between foreign direct investment (FDI) and domestic gross direct investment (GDI). Our framework provides a consideration of business cycle asymmetry...

Recent empirical work suggests a predictive relationship between stock returns and output growth. We employ quarterly data from a panel of 27 countries to test whether stock returns as useful in predicting growth. Unlike previous research, our approach allows for the possible non-linear effect...

This paper investigates comovements between the United States and Australia. Our nonlinear model allows the dynamic response to shocks to differ if countries are in recession. Generalised Impulse Response Functions highlight a significant asymmetric response to positive and negative shocks.