We propose and study a hierarchical dependence model. Its properties are analyzed and techniques for estimation and model selection are developed. For sampling, different methods are derived and evaluated. Furthermore, we consider two important types of financial risk: systemic and operational...

We introduce a new discounted cash flow model which adopts the diversification effect of multi-business firms. We face two challenges: One is examining how different diversification extents can affect the firm value due to risk reduction, and the other is modeling segment-specific cash flows and...

Between 1990 and 2000 the U.S. Nuclear Regulatory Commission and the Commission of the European Communities conducted a joint uncertainty analysis of accident consequences for nuclear power plants. This study remains a benchmark for uncertainty analysis of large models involving high risks with...