How relevant are government-owned banks in the economy, especially in recessions? We study the role of government-owned banks in a dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with heterogeneous financial intermediaries, heterogeneous households, and minimum capital requirement...

This paper estimates a 3-country DSGE model to identify the drivers of exchange rate volatility in small open economies (SOE). The model features common shocks that affect economies symmetrically. Using data from Jamaica, the US and the G-7 region, the paper finds that external financial shocks...

This paper compares within-sample and out-of-sample fit of a DSGE model with rational expectations to a model with adaptive learning. The Galí, Smets and Wouters model is the chosen laboratory using quarterly real-time euro area data vintages, covering 2001Q1–2019Q4. The adaptive learning...

This paper assesses whether the impact of monetary policy uncertainty on the U.S. economy has changed over time. Estimating a Time-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregressive model on U.S. data from 1985Q1 to 2022Q3, we find that uncertainty shocks have larger negative effects on output during the...

This work investigates the impact of an increase in the money supply on inflation using DSGE model in Madagascar. The results showed a strong positive correlation between these two variables, confirming the economic theory that an increase in the money supply leads to a proportional increase in...

This note shows that combining external forecasts such as the Survey of Professional Fore casters can significantly increase DSGE forecast accuracy while preserving the interpretability in terms of structural shocks. Applied to pseudo real-time from 1997q2 onward, the canonical Smets and Wouters...

Many economies in Sub-Saharan Africa have been dealing with cyclical and macroeconomic problems for a long time. These issues include fluctuating growth, high inflation, unstable exchange rates, etc., all of which are a result of changes in the price of commodities. The COVID-19 and...