This study estimates a small open economy DSGE model for Sri Lanka to find out the driving forces of business cycles. The model replicates moments of actual data fairly well and it outperforms BVAR models estimated with the same data. The application of the estimated model reveals that domestic...

We analyze the effects of macroprudential policies through the lens of an estimated dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model tailored to developing markets. In particular, we explicitly introduce informality in the labor and goods markets within a small open economy embedding...

We estimate a workhorse DSGE model with an occasionally binding borrowing constraint. First, we propose a new specification of the occasionally binding constraint, where the transition between the unconstrained and constrained states is a stochastic function of the leverage level and the...

We develop a Bayesian Markov chain Monte Carlo algorithm for estimating risk premia in dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) models with stochastic volatility. Our approach is fully Bayesian and employs an affine solution strategy that makes estimation of large-scale DSGE models...

This paper examines the possibility of combining a DSGE model and neural networks to supplement each other, in order to yield a good performance in out-of-sample forecasts for economic variables. The novel neural-net structure of TDVAE (Temporal Difference Variational Auto-Encoder) proposed by...

We develop a structural DSGE model to systematically study the principal tools of unconventional monetary policy -- quantitative easing (QE), forward guidance, and negative interest rate policy (NIRP) -- as well as the interactions between them. To generate the same output response, the...

Despite the recent introduction of novel solution methods for Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE), perturbation methods are still among the most popular and widely used solution techniques for DSGE models. Unfortunately, nonlinear perturbation solutions produce paths with stochastic...

The trade balances of the Euro Area (EA) and of the U.S. have improved markedly after the Global Financial Crisis. This paper quantifies the drivers of EA and U.S. economic fluctuations and external adjustment, using an estimated (1999-2017) three-region (U.S., EA, rest of world) DSGE model with...