The paper discusses the effects on growth of a systemic banking crisis as a result of debt defaults. These effects will come from the impact of credit rationing on consumption and credit and from the impacts of a significant rise in the spread between lending and borrowing rates for both...

Suppose we wish to carry out likelihood based inference but we solely have an unbiased simulation based estimator of the likelihood. We note that unbiasedness is enough when the estimated likelihood is used inside a Metropolis-Hastings algorithm. This result has recently been intro- duced in...

First-order approximations to the solution to a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model (DGSE) are now widely used in the literature. In particular, the solution is usually based on the standard log-linearisation procedure around the steady-state. However, it may be not enough especially...