Heinisch, Katja; Scaramella, Fabio; Schult, Christoph - Leibniz-Institut für Wirtschaftsforschung Halle - 2025
accuracy of the underlying assumptions. This paper examines the extent to which assumption errors affect forecast accuracy … ordinary least squares (OLS) techniques systematically underestimate the influence of assumption errors, particularly with … the data. However, the effect of oil price assumption errors on GDP forecast errors remains ambiguous. These results …