Green, Kesten; Armstrong, J Scott; Soon, Willie
would be unlikely to help policymakers. For example, mean absolute errors for the 20- and 50-year horizons were 0.18 ring … small sample of errors from ex ante projections at 0.03 ring operatorC per year for 1992 through 2008 was practically … indistinguishable from the benchmark errors. Validation for long-term forecasting, however, requires a much longer horizon. Again using …
