J Smithin’s recent June, 2012 draft article, titled “A Rehabilitation of the Model of Effective Demand from Chapter 3 of Keynes’s General Theory (1936)”, provides an excellent summary of the error filled Post Keynesian D-Z model, as well as focusing on Patinkin’s partially correct...

We review the properties of a univariate probability distribution that is a possible candidate for the description of financial market price changes. This distribution is an “error” distribution that represents a generalized form of the Normal, possesses a natural multivariate form, has a...

We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties -- particularly as regards serial correlation -- differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side...

Sample surveys providing high quality information on both total household expenditure (consumption) and income are not commonly available. Nevertheless, surveys focusing on income usually do collect some information on expenditure data. A main drawback of this practice is that it could let some...

We extend the Simple Linear Measurement Error Model through the inclusion of a composite indicator by using the Generalized Maximum Entropy estimator. A Monte Carlo simulation study is proposed for comparing the performances of the proposed estimator to his counterpart the Ordinary Least Squares...

We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties - particularly as regards serial correlation - differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side...

We provide a new and superior measure of U.S. GDP, obtained by applying optimal signal-extraction techniques to the (noisy) expenditure-side and income-side estimates. Its properties - particularly as regards serial correlation - differ markedly from those of the standard expenditure-side...

It is well-known that the market prices of options produce implied volatilities that inexplicably vary by exercise price in a pattern often referred to as the volatility smile. This paper shows that not only do market prices produce volatility smiles, but so do model prices. This result occurs...

This paper focuses on how survey misreporting of food stamp receipt can bias demographic estimation of program participation. Food stamps is a federally funded program which subsidizes the nutrition of low-income households. In order to improve the reach of this program, studies on low program...

The term "information risk" or "information uncertainty" is defined as the risk of a misleading signal. This risk is understood Bayesianly in terms of the likelihood function f(S|φ). In Bayesian method, f(S|φ) captures the quality of signal S with respect to parameter φ. The Bayesian position...