This paper studies high-frequency econometric methods to test for a jump in the spread of bond yields. We propose a coherent inference procedure that detects a jump in the yield spread only if at least one of the two underlying bonds displays a jump. Ignoring this inherent connection by basing...

Investors typically measure an asset’s potential to diversify a portfolio by its correlations with the portfolio’s other assets, but correlation is useful only if it provides a good estimate of how an asset’s returns co-occur cumulatively with the other asset returns over the investor’s...

This paper considers a multi-dimensional panel data model with multilevel factors when the numbers of cross-sections and time observations are large. We develop a multilevel iterative principal component (MIPC) method for estimation by iteratively updating between the slope coefficients and...

Evaluating the impact of policy interventions on respondents who are embedded in a social network is often challenging due to the presence of network interference within the treatment groups, as well as between treatment and non-treatment groups throughout the network. In this paper, we propose...

Betting markets are efficient if expected payouts on all possible bets on an event are equal. We compare two regression-based methods for testing for efficiency that have been used in previous research: One that uses normalized probabilities as the explanatory variable for payouts and one that...

In this note, we propose an estimator for continuous-choice dynamic structural models. Our approach expands the class of models that can be estimated using the GMM methods in Hansen and Singleton (1982) by leveraging a theoretical result on stochastic Euler equations from Acemoglu (2009). We...

A popular methodology for sensitivity analysis offers two concrete proposal to draw conclusions about the severity of omitted variable bias: (a) comparing delta* (the value of the sensitivity parameter, delta, consistent with zero treatment effect) with 1, and (b) constructing identified sets...

This paper studies the performance of the spectral method in the estimation and uncertainty quantification of the unobserved preference scores of compared entities in a very general and more realistic setup in which the comparison graph consists of hyper-edges of possible heterogeneous sizes and...