Search Results - subject:"expert's intuition"

Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts

Chang, Chia Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; Mcaleer, Michael - In: Journal for Economic Forecasting (2012) 3, pp. 22-43

econometric model, but also incorporates expert intuition, is non-replicable and is typically biased. In this paper we propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010583871

Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts

Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University - 2011

econometric model, but also incorporates expert intuition, is non-replicable and is typically biased. In this paper we propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009001945

Evaluating Individual and Mean Non-Replicable Forecasts

Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, … - 2011

econometric model, but also incorporates expert intuition, is non-replicable and is typically biased. In this paper we propose a …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009141352

Evaluating Combined Non-Replicable Forecasts

Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University - 2010

Macroeconomic forecasts are often based on the interaction between econometric models and experts. A forecast that is based only on an econometric model is replicable and may be unbiased, whereas a forecast that is not based only on an econometric model, but also incorporates an expert's touch,...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008752219