Search Results - subject:"forecast errors"

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Evidence for a presource curse? : oil discoveries, elevated expectations, and growth disappointments

Cust, James; Mihalyi, David - 2017

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011701446

Do European fiscal rules induce a bias in fiscal forecasts? : evidence from the stability and growth pact

Gilbert, Niels D.; Jong, Jasper de - In: Public choice 170 (2017) 1/2, pp. 1-32

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011777659

Strengthening post-crisis fiscal credibility : fiscal councils on the rise : a new dataset

Debrun, Xavier; Kinda, Tidiane - In: Fiscal studies : the journal of the Institute for … 38 (2017) 4, pp. 667-700

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011792175

How analysts and whisperers use fundamental accounting signals to make quarterly EPS forecasts

Wahab, Susan; Teitel, Karen; Morzuch, Bernard J. - In: Journal of accounting, auditing & finance 32 (2017) 3, pp. 401-422

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011708532

Reputation and forecast revisions: Evidence from the FOMC

Tillmann, Peter - 2011

This paper investigates how FOMC members revise their forecasts for key macroeconomic variables. Based on a new data set of forecasts from individual FOMC members between 1992 and 2000 it is shown that FOMC members intentionally overrevise their forecasts at the first revision and underrevise at...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010286396

Reputation and Forecast Revisions: Evidence from the FOMC

Tillmann, Peter - Volkswirtschaft Abteilung, Fachbereich … - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010612068

Are Forecast Updates Progressive?

Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - Institute of Economic Research, Kyoto University - 2011

Many macro-economic forecasts and forecast updates, such as those from the IMF and OECD, typically involve both a model component, which is replicable, as well as intuition (namely, expert knowledge possessed by a forecaster), which is non-replicable. . Learning from previous mistakes can affect...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008862832

Are Forecast Updates Progressive?

Chang, Chia-Lin; Franses, Philip Hans; McAleer, Michael - Facultad de Ciencias Económicas y Empresariales, … - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008864018

Mandatory management forecasts, forecast revisions, and abnormal accruals

Yamada, Akihiro - In: Asian Review of Accounting 24 (2016) 3, pp. 295-312

earnings forecast errors (MFERR), and between accruals and forecast revisions. Further, the study offers a preliminary … between accruals and management forecast errors (revisions), multiple regression models were designed using data covering the … management forecast errors (revisions) is more pronounced among firms operating in uncertain business environments or facing …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10014676075

A comparison of alternative models for estimating firm's growth rate

Brick, Ivan E.; Chen, Hong-Yi; Hsieh, Chia-Hsun; Lee, … - In: Review of quantitative finance and accounting 47 (2016) 2, pp. 369-393

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011595608