Gamber, Edward N.; Smith, Julie K.; Weiss, Matthew - Department of Economics, George Washington University - 2008
respond to the Great Moderation? 4) What are the potential benefits to monetary policymakers of smaller forecast errors? We … find that the absolute median error as well as the cross-sectional volatility of forecast errors decreased significantly … Forecasters and the Federal Reserve (Greenbook forecasts) we investigate four questions: 1) How large was the decline in forecast …