Search Results - subject:"forecasting error"

Assessing the forecasting power of the leading composite index in Macedonia

Petreski, Marjan - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2013

the forecasting error behavior with the addition of the leading index and with the imposition of larger time span in the … model. The main finding is that the inclusion of the leading index in the model reduces the forecasting error. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011112596

Now or Later? Trading Wind Power Closer to Real-time and How Poorly Designed Subsidies Lead to Higher Balancing Costs

Mauritzen, Johannes - Institutet för Näringslivsforskning (IFN) - 2013

An important challenge facing many deregulated electricity markets is dealing with the increasing penetration of intermittent generation. Simulation studies have pointed to the advantages of trading closer to real-time with large amounts of intermittent generation. Using Danish data, I show...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010818360

Now or later? : trading wind power closer to real-time and how poorly designed subsidies lead to higher balanding costs

Mauritzen, Johannes - 2013

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009760510

The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU. Is it really 12 months?

Jonung, Lars; Lindén, Staffan - 2011

The standard way today to obtain measures of inflationary expectations is to use questionnaires to ask a representative group of respondents about their beliefs of the future rate of inflation during the coming 12 months. This type of data on inflationary expectations as well as on inflationary...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10013208567

Development of new methods for measuring forecast error

Mathai, Allan Valsaraj; Agarwal, Ayush; Angampalli, Varnika - In: International journal of logistics systems and management 24 (2016) 2, pp. 213-225

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011547022

A probabilistic approach to solve the economic dispatch problem with intermittent renewable energy sources

Osório, G.J.; Lujano-Rojas, J.M.; Matias, J.C.O.; … - In: Energy 82 (2015) C, pp. 949-959

, while the PDF of ENS is incorporated by convoluting the PDF of ENS due to the forecasting error and any failure event. The …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011209491

Determination of the distribution of flood forecasting error

Zhang, Junhong; Chen, Lu; Singh, Vijay; Cao, Hongwen; … - In: Natural Hazards 75 (2015) 2, pp. 1389-1402

Flood forecasting plays an essential role in enhancing the safety of residents downstream and preventing or reducing economic losses. One critical issue in flood risk assessment is the determination of the probability distribution of forecast errors. Several investigations, which have been...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011151493

Forecasting international tourism with due regard to asymmetric income effects

Smeral, Egon - In: Tourism economics : the business and finance of tourism … 20 (2014) 1, pp. 61-72

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010254424

Applying TLFs to design the exception thresholds in collaborative forecasting

Chang, Shiow-yun; Yeh, Tsung-yuan - In: International journal of production research 50 (2012) 7, pp. 1932-1941

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009563778

The forecasting horizon of inflationary expectations and perceptions in the EU. Is it really 12 months?

Jonung, Lars; Lindén, Staffan - Nationalekonomiska Institutionen, Ekonomihögskolan - 2011

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10008799782