В статье рассмотрена методика краткосрочного прогнозирования экономического результата и связанного с ним риска. Для измерения риска предлагается...

This paper examines the effectiveness of government attempts in Indonesia to deal with the employment dimensions of the economic reform programme introduced after the collapse in oil prices in the early 1980s. The paper comes to the conclusion that the reform programme has been in general...

This paper analyses the information content of M1 for euro area real GDP since the beginning of the 1980s and reviews theoretical arguments on why real narrow money should help predict real GDP. We find that, unlike in the U.S., in the euro area, M1 has better and more robust forecasting...