Application of the Bernhardt, Campello and Kutsoati (2006) test of herding to the calendar-year annual output growth and inflation forecasts suggests forecasters tend to exaggerate their differences, except at the shortest horizon when they tend to herd. We consider whether these types of...

<span style="font-size: 9.5pt"><span style="font-size: 9.5pt">This paper presents a new stochastic model of asset pricing, based on agents with heterogeneous beliefs. Forecasting rules of all agents are characterized by a stochastic term that</span><span style="font-size: 9.5pt">works as an agent-based time dependent weight of the conditional expectation of the fundamental. Since we consider...</span></span>