This paper, using the Turkish data, employs a VAR model to decompose permanent and transitory shocks on consumption and income. Pistoresi (1997), using USA data, reaches an empirical result that the permanent part of private consumption explains the much of the variance of series, whereas that...

Oil prices affecting production costs, inflation rates and therefore economic growth, have a direct impact on stock market returns. In the last two decades sharp increases in oil prices led way to stock market collapses which were transmitted to the global economy as downturns. This paper...

There is an opinion that the Russian Central Bank's actual policy in 2000–2008 was real exchange rate targeting. At the same time, the Central Bank regularly declared inflation targets, but regularly missed them. We estimate a simple structural threshold VAR model of the Russian economy to...