Management researchers often develop theories and policies that are forward‐looking. The prospective outlook of predictive modeling, where a model predicts unseen or new data, can complement the retrospective nature of causal‐explanatory modeling that dominates the field. Partial least...

This paper analyzes a large set of factors that potentially influence the price of gold using Bayesian Model Averaging and Ordinary Least Squares for comparison. We examine the evolution of the importance of factors through time, the role of the time horizon (daily versus monthly),...

This paper considers estimation and inference concerning the autoregressive coefficient (ρ) in a panel autoregression for which the degree of persistence in the time dimension is unknown. The main objective is to construct confidence intervals for ρ that are asymptotically valid, having...