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Aggregation 1 Belief aggregation 1 Confidence 1 Erwartungsbildung 1 Expectation formation 1 Group decision-making 1 Gruppenentscheidung 1 Neue politische Ökonomie 1 Pareto efficiency 1 Pareto principle 1 Pareto-Optimum 1 Public choice 1 Theorie 1 Theory 1 Vertrauen 1 confidence in beliefs 1 consensus 1 expertise 1 linearpooling 1 spurious unanimity 1
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Arbeitspapier 1 Graue Literatur 1 Non-commercial literature 1 Working Paper 1
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English 1
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Hill, Brian 1
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HEC Paris Research Paper 1
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Confidence, consensus and aggregation
Hill, Brian - 2023
This paper develops and defends a new approach to belief aggregation, involving confidence in beliefs. It is characterised by a variant of the Pareto condition that enjoins respecting consensuses borne of compromise. Confidence aggregation recoups standard probability aggregation rules, such as...
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