We estimate business cycle regime switching logit models for G7 countries to determine the effect of duration of the current business cycle phase and of foreign recessions on the likelihood that expansions and recessions come to an end. With respect to expansions in a G7 country, we find that...

The European debt crisis has revealed serious deficiencies and risks on a proper functioning of the monetary union. Against this backdrop, early warning systems are of crucial importance. In this study that focuses on euro area member states, the robustness of early warning systems to predict...

Predicting corporate failure is an important problem in management science. This study tests a new method for predicting corporate failure on a sample of Spanish firms. A GRASP (Greedy Randomized Adaptive Search Procedure) strategy is proposed to use a feature selection algorithm to select a...

In a private values, open auction, we show that bidder surplus can be expressed as a simple difference between unconditional moments of order statistics. The strength of the result is its simplicity and generality, as we dispense with the typical assumptions of independence and/or symmetry. We...

We consider uncapacitated and capacitated assortment problems under the paired combinatorial logit model, where the goal is to fi nd a set of products to maximize the expected revenue obtained from each customer. In the uncapacitated setting, we can offer any set of products, whereas in the...