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Year of publication
Subject
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Economic models of exchange rate determination 1 Long-horizon regression tests 1 Purchasing power parity 1 Random walk 1 Real exchange rate 1 economic models of exchange rate determination 1 long-horizon regression tests 1 purchasing power parity 1 random walk 1 real exchange rate 1
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Online availability
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Free 1 Undetermined 1
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 2
Language
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English 1 Undetermined 1
Author
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Kilian, Lutz 2 Taylor, Mark P 1 Taylor, Mark P. 1
Institution
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C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 1 Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan 1
Published in...
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CEPR Discussion Papers 1 Working Papers / Research Seminar in International Economics, University of Michigan 1
Source
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RePEc 2
Showing 1 - 2 of 2
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Why Is It So Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates?
Kilian, Lutz; Taylor, Mark P. - Research Seminar in International Economics, University … - 2001
We propose a stylized exchange rate model based on diversity and weight of opinion. Our model departs from standard assumptions in that we allow for heterogeneous agents. We show that such a model can explain both the observed volatility and the persistence of real and nominal exchange rate...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005734374
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Cover Image
Why is it so Difficult to Beat the Random Walk Forecast of Exchange Rates?
Kilian, Lutz; Taylor, Mark P - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2001
We propose an exchange rate model that can explain both the observed volatility and the persistence of real and nominal exchange rate movements and thus in some measure resolves Rogoff’s (1996) purchasing power parity puzzle. Our analysis reconciles the well-known difficulties in beating the...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005124271
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