Bessler, David; Kibriya, Shahriar; Chen, Junyi; Price, Ed - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2014
-of-sample period 2009 – 2012. The models used to generate these forecasts were based on a specification from a machine learning … algorithm fit to 2000 – 2008 monthly data. The idea here is that for policy purposes we need models that can forecast conflict …