1. General Introduction -- 2. Dynamics in Econometrics -- 3. Estimating the Model -- 4. Testing the Model -- 5. Non-Stationarity and Cointegration -- 6. Specifying the ARDL Model -- 7. Vector Autoregressions -- 8. Panel Data Models -- 9. Non-Stationary Panels -- 10. The Binary Qualitative Model.

This article introduces a new econometric model that includes an innovative measure of intersectoral structural change. This model describes the structural convergence (or divergence) of sector share patterns across countries (from the North-South or global perspective) influenced by...

This paper presents a general equilibrium sectoral model designed to produce macroeconomic scenarios that incorporate transition risks associated with policies to curb climate change (but not physical risks associated with the long-term costs of climate change). The model is calibrated to the...

When it comes to finding whether a firm has violated antitrust law, economists are often called upon as expert witnesses by the parties involved in litigation. This paper focuses on a challenge that economists may face when appearing as expert witnesses in US federal courts, namely to comply...

The reluctance of a significant number of individuals in the current COVID-19 pandemic to adhere to social distancing measures -- and even to get vaccinated -- seems to be one of the major obstacles for the long-term success of public health policies around the world. Against this background we...

Ethanol has attracted considerable policy attention both for its use as a gasoline substitute, and as a way to enhance profits in rural areas. In this paper, we analyze the effects of government policy on the decisions of ethanol-producing firms to invest in building new ethanol plants in the...

Nepal is an agrarian country with more than 66% of its population directly engaged in farming, which results in the agricultural and livestock sectors to be the largest contributors towards gross domestic product (GDP). Thus, the main objective of this research is to quantify and analyze the...

The macroeconomic costs of disinflation are considered for the United States in a rational expectations macroeconometric model with sticky prices and imperfect information regarding monetary policy objectives. The analysis centers on simulation experiments using the Board’s new quarterly...

The present paper presents a quarterly econometric model for the Greek economy, the GR-MCM model. The model has been developed as part of a larger project within the European System of Central Banks (ESCB), the Multi-Country Model (MCM). The model combines short-run Keynesian dynamics determined...

At the Bank of Greece econometric modelling started in 1975 when the Bank’s first model of the Greek economy was developed under the leadership of the now Governor of the Bank Nicholas C. Garganas. The model was extensively used for many years in forecasting as well as in policy analysis and...