This paper investigates the factors responsible for predicting 2012 U.S. Presidential election. Though contemporary discussions on Presidential election mention that unemployment rate will be a deciding factor in this election, it is found that unemployment rate is not significant for predicting...

The present study attempts to examine the effects of private foreign capital inflows (FINV) on macroeconomic variables in India. The study also examines the trends and composition of capital inflows into India. Using the Vector Autoregression (VAR) method, this paper specifically examines...

The purpose of the System Dynamics method is to study the relationship between structure and behavior in non-linear, dynamic systems. In such systems, the significance of various structural components to the behavior pattern exhibited, changes as the behavior unfolds. Changes in structural...

The present paper starts from the theoretical premise according to which the business environment of firms (as macroeconomic entities) is influenced to a greater or less extent by the behaviour of certain essential macroeconomic variables of the market econmies. In this respect, our...

The paper starts from the theoretical premise that the business environment of the operators from the agri-food economy is, greater influenced by the behaviour of certain essential macro-economic variables of the market economies. For this purpose, our methodological approach investigates the...

A number of authors suggested that the impact of the macroeconomic factors on the incidence of the financial distress, and afterward in case of failure of companies. However, macroeconomic factors rarely, if ever, appear as variables in predictive models that seek to identify distress and...

We develop a conditional version of the consumption capital asset pricing model (CCAPM) using the conditioning variable from the cointegrating relation among macroeconomic variables (dividend yield, term spread, default spread, and short-term interest rate). Our conditioning variable has a...

Hazard model was argued having advantages compared with previous financial distress prediction model because it can produce consistent and accurate estimates. In use, hazard model can include a form of macro-dependencies e.g. macroeconomic variables to capture the effects of the changes of...