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  • Search: subject:"model forecasts"
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Year of publication
Subject
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expert forecasts 21 model forecasts 21 Prognoseverfahren 8 Absatz 6 Bayesian analysis 6 Markov regime-switching models 6 Vergleich 6 disagreement 6 survey forecasts 6 time series 6 cognitive process feedback 5 endogeneity 5 forecast adjustment 5 judgmental adjustment 5 outcome feedback 5 performance feedback 5 task properties feedback 5 Bayes-Statistik 4 Experten 4 Experts 4 Forecasting model 4 Sachverständige 4 Comparison 3 Expert forecasts 3 Model forecasts 3 Sales 3 asymmetry 3 econometric models 3 feedback 3 loss functions 3 Arzneimittel 2 Bayesian inference 2 Befragung 2 Pharmaceuticals 2 Pharmazeutisches Produkt 2 Theorie 2 Zeitreihenanalyse 2 decision making 2 stated behavior 2 Ökonometrisches Modell 2
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Online availability
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Free 24
Type of publication
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Book / Working Paper 24
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Working Paper 8 Arbeitspapier 4 Graue Literatur 4 Non-commercial literature 4
Language
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Undetermined 16 English 8
Author
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Franses, Philip Hans 20 Legerstee, Rianne 15 Paap, Richard 9 Franses, Ph.H.B.F. 4 Legerstee, Legerstee, R. 4 Legerstee, R. 3 Boulaksil, Boulaksil, Y. 1 Boulaksil, Y. 1 Paap, R. 1
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Institution
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Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam 4 Tinbergen Instituut 4 Erasmus University Rotterdam, Econometric Institute 3 Tinbergen Institute 3 Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam. 1 Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), Erasmus Universiteit Rotterdam 1
Published in...
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Tinbergen Institute Discussion Papers 7 Discussion paper / Tinbergen Institute 4 Econometric Institute Research Papers 4 Tinbergen Institute Discussion Paper 4 Econometric Institute Report 3 ERIM Report Series Research in Management 1 Research Paper / Erasmus Research Institute of Management (ERIM), ERIM is the joint research institute of the Rotterdam School of Management, Erasmus University and the Erasmus School of Economics (ESE) at Erasmus University Rotterdam. 1
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Source
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RePEc 16 ECONIS (ZBW) 4 EconStor 4
Showing 1 - 10 of 24
Cover Image
Do Experts incorporate Statistical Model Forecasts and should they?
Legerstee, Rianne; Franses, Philip Hans; Paap, Richard - 2011
Experts can rely on statistical model forecasts when creating their own forecasts. Usually it is not known what experts … model forecasts. First, is the expert forecast related to the model forecast and how? Second, how is this potential relation … realizations of SKU-level sales data from a pharmaceutical company. We find that expert forecasts can depend on model forecasts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326324
Saved in:
Cover Image
Do Experts' SKU Forecasts improve after Feedback?
Legerstee, Rianne; Franses, Philip Hans - 2011
We analyze the behavior of experts who quote forecasts for monthly SKU-level sales data where we compare data before and after the moment that experts received different kinds of feedback on their behavior. We have data for 21 experts located in as many countries who make SKU-level forecasts for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326360
Saved in:
Cover Image
Estimating Loss Functions of Experts
Franses, Philip Hans; Legerstee, Rianne; Paap, Richard - 2011
We propose a new and simple methodology to estimate the loss function associated with experts' forecasts. Under the assumption of conditional normality of the data and the forecast distribution, the asymmetry parameter of the lin-lin and linex loss function can easily be estimated using a linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010326488
Saved in:
Cover Image
Estimating Loss Functions of Experts
Franses, Philip Hans; Legerstee, Rianne; Paap, Richard - Tinbergen Instituut - 2011
We propose a new and simple methodology to estimate the loss function associated with experts' forecasts. Under the assumption of conditional normality of the data and the forecast distribution, the asymmetry parameter of the lin-lin and linex loss function can easily be estimated using a linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257050
Saved in:
Cover Image
Do Experts incorporate Statistical Model Forecasts and should they?
Legerstee, Rianne; Franses, Philip Hans; Paap, Richard - Tinbergen Instituut - 2011
Experts can rely on statistical model forecasts when creating their own forecasts. Usually it is not known what experts … model forecasts. First, is the expert forecast related to the model forecast and how? Second, how is this potential relation … realizations of SKU-level sales data from a pharmaceutical company. We find that expert forecasts can depend on model forecasts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011257244
Saved in:
Cover Image
Do experts' SKU forecasts improve after feedback?
Franses, Philip Hans; Legerstee, Legerstee, R. - Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus … - 2011
We analyze the behavior of experts who quote forecasts for monthly SKU-level sales data where we compare data before and after the moment that experts received different kinds of feedback on their behavior. We have data for 21 experts located in as many countries who make SKUlevel forecasts for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10011204325
Saved in:
Cover Image
Estimating Loss Functions of Experts
Franses, Philip Hans; Paap, Richard; Legerstee, … - Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus … - 2011
We propose a new and simple methodology to estimate the loss function associated with experts' forecasts. Under the assumption of conditional normality of the data and the forecast distribution, the asymmetry parameter of the lin-lin and linex loss function can easily be estimated using a linear...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731677
Saved in:
Cover Image
Do experts incorporate statistical model forecasts and should they?
Franses, Philip Hans; Paap, Richard; Legerstee, … - Faculteit der Economische Wetenschappen, Erasmus … - 2011
Experts can rely on statistical model forecasts when creating their own forecasts. Usually it is not known what experts … model forecasts. First, is the expert forecast related to the model forecast and how? Second, how is this potential relation … realizations of SKU-level sales data from a pharmaceutical company. We find that expert forecasts can depend on model forecasts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010731896
Saved in:
Cover Image
Do Experts incorporate Statistical Model Forecasts and should they?
Legerstee, Rianne; Franses, Philip Hans; Paap, Richard - Tinbergen Institute - 2011
Experts can rely on statistical model forecasts when creating their own forecasts. Usually it is not known what experts … model forecasts. First, is the expert forecast related to the model forecast and how? Second, how is this potential relation … realizations of SKU-level sales data from a pharmaceutical company. We find that expert forecasts can depend on model forecasts in …
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009321847
Saved in:
Cover Image
Do Experts' SKU Forecasts improve after Feedback?
Legerstee, Rianne; Franses, Philip Hans - Tinbergen Institute - 2011
We analyze the behavior of experts who quote forecasts for monthly SKU-level sales data where we compare data before and after the moment that experts received different kinds of feedback on their behavior. We have data for 21 experts located in as many countries who make SKU-level forecasts for...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10009322996
Saved in:
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