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Holt's exponential smoothing 1 airline accidents 1 extrapolation 1 model formulation 1 personal computers 1 revenue forecasting 1 transportation safety 1
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Armstrong, J. Scott 1 Collopy, Fred 1 Yokum, J. Thomas 1
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Decomposition by Causal Forces: A Procedure for Forecasting Complex Time Series
Armstrong, J. Scott; Collopy, Fred; Yokum, J. Thomas - 2005
Causal forces are a way of summarizing forecasters' expectations about what will happen to a time series in the future. Contrary to the common assumption for extrapolation, time series are not always subject to consistent forces that point in the same direction. Some are affected by conflicting...
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