Search Results - subject:"naive forecasts"

WHAT TYPE OF SOCIAL CAPITAL IS ENGAGED BY THE FRENCH DAIRY STOCKBREEDERS? A CHARACTERIZATION THROUGH THEIR PROFESSIONAL IDENTITIES

Simionescu, Mihaela - In: Romanian Journal of Regional Science 8 (2014) 1, pp. 87-102

region. However, the naïve forecasts gave more accurate results than the proposed models, this conclusion being in accordance …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010888116

How to Improve the SPF Forecasts?

Bratu, Mihaela - In: Acta Universitatis Danubius. OEconomica (2013) 9(2), pp. 153-165

forecasts) were not more accurate than the naïve forecasts or SPF ones. A considerably improvement of the accuracy was gotten … still less accurate than the naïve forecasts that could be made for UE inflation rate. So, the forecasts based on a simple …

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010858326

A Strategy to Improve the Survey of Professional Forecasters (SPF) Predictions Using Bias-Corrected-Accelerated (BCA) Bootstrap Forecast Intervals

Bratu, Mihaela - In: International Journal of Synergy and Research 1 (2012) 2, pp. 45-59

Purpose – The purpose of the research is to find a suitable strategy to improve the SPF predictions for inflation. Design/methodology/approach – some alternative forecasts for the annual rate of change for the HICP for EU were developed, their accuracy was evaluated, using proper accuracy...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010739408

Are the Fed’s Inflation Forecasts Still Superior to the Private Sector’s?

Gamber, Edward N.; Smith, Julie K. - Department of Economics, George Washington University - 2007

We examine the relative improvement in forecasting accuracy of the Federal Reserve (Greenbook forecasts) and private-sector forecasts (the Survey of Professional Forecasters and Blue Chip Economic Indicators) for inflation. Previous research by Romer and Romer (2000), and Sims (2002) shows that...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005244940

How accurate are the Swedish forecasters on GDB-Growth, CPI-inflation and unemployment? (1993 - 2001)

Barot, Bharat - In: Brussels Economic Review 47 (2004) 2, pp. 249-278

This study evaluates the performance of the eight most important Swedish domestic forecasters of real GDP-growth, CPI-inflation and unemployment for the sample period 1993-2001. The evaluation is based on the following measures: mean absolute error, the root mean square error, bias and finally...

Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005227906