Dées, Stéphane; Zimic, Srečko - 2016
(noise shocks). Exploiting the fact that the econometrician has a richer data-set in some dimensions than the consumers, we … shocks turn negative a few years before recessions, while noise shocks are very positive at the cycle peaks. By contrast, the … recovery from recessions is mostly led by technology shocks, noise shocks remaining negative for some time during this business …