This new edition includes the latest advances and developments in computational probability involving A Probability Programming Language (APPL). The book examines and presents, in a systematic manner, computational probability methods that encompass data structures and algorithms. The developed...

This focuses on the developing field of building probability models with the power of symbolic algebra systems. The book combines the uses of symbolic algebra with probabilistic/stochastic application and highlights the applications in a variety of contexts. The research explored in each chapter...

Data assimilation obtains improved estimates of the state of a physical systemby combining imperfect model results with sparse and noisy observations of reality.Not all observations used in data assimilation are equally valuable. The ability tocharacterize the usefulness of different data points...

Gas hydrates have been attracted a great deal of attention because of their potential as an energy substitute and the climate implications. Drilling and sampling research on the hydrate deposit in the Shenhu Area on the northern continental slope of the Southern China Sea was a big breakthrough...

This study builds on the findings in Krawczyk (2008), where a 'cautious relaxed' utility measure is introduced in the solving of a dynamic portfolio management problem. The new measure provides distributions that are left skewed in contrast to the right skewed distributions previously found....

This paper investigates the optimal dynamic paths of trade protection imposed on infant industries during the process of joining a free trade agreement. The framework is based on the dynamic learning-by-doing model developed in Melitz (2005), where industries are experiencing dynamic...

This paper incorporates healthcare and creative activities in the Ramsey-Cass-Koopmans model in order to analyse the endogenous growth effects arising from governmental policies. An increase in lump-sum taxes and inefficient expenditures decrease the short, medium and the long-run economic growth.

In this paper, we investigate model-independent bounds for option prices given market instruments.This super-replication problem can be written as a semi-infinite linear programming problem. As these super-replication prices can be large and the densities Q which achieve the upper bounds quite...

In an abstract economic model, we study optimal monetary policy from the timeless perspective under a general state-dependent pricing framework. We find that when firms are monopolistic competitors subject to idiosyncratic menu cost shocks, households have isoelastic preferences, and there is no...

Since Kydland and Prescott (1977) and Barro and Gordon (1983), most studies of the problem of the inflation bias associated with discretionary monetary policy have assumed a quadratic loss function. We depart from the conventional linear-quadratic approach to the problem in favor of a projection...