Rombouts, Jeroen V.K.; Stentoft, Lars - School of Economics and Management, University of Aarhus - 2009
. When forecasting out-of-sample options on the S&P 500 index, substantial improvements are found compared to a benchmark … predictive densities taking into account parameter uncertainty. When forecast-
ing out-of-sample options on the S&P 500 index … implied volatilities.
Keywords: Bayesian inference, option pricing, finite mixture models, out-of-sample
prediction, GARCH …