In the paper, we derive an unbiased estimator of the efficient frontier. It is shown that the suggested estimator corrects the overoptimism of the sample efficient frontier documented in Siegel and Woodgate (2007). Moreover, an exact F-test on the efficient frontier is presented.

In this paper we present two adaptive control formulations that explicitly include uncertainty in characterizing a facility's deterioration rate in the process of developing maintenance and repair policies. The formulations use condition information that stems from the operation of a facility to...

In the paper, a finite sample test is suggested for detecting changes in the composition of the global minimum variance portfolio. The exact density of the test statistic is calculated. It appears that under the null hypothesis of no change, it is independent of the parameters of the asset...

The efficient frontier is a parabola in the mean-variance space which is uniquely determined by three characteristics. Assuming that the portfolio asset returns are independent and multivariate normally distributed, we derive tests and confidence sets for all possible arrangements of these...

We present a model in which investors observe the same macroeconomic data but have varying levels of information about the parameters that determine the distribution of the expected returns on investment. During a crisis that increases macroeconomic uncertainty and reduces asset prices, the...

In this paper we briefly review Bayesian and frequentist prediction inference for time series, and then advocate the use of guaranteed-content prediction intervals. These intervals are such that their content (or coverage) is guaranteed with a given high probability. They, thus, are more...