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analysts' earnings forecasts 1 mixture model 1 predictability of forecast revisions 1
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Aiolfi, Marco 1 Rodriguez, Marius 1 Timmermann, Allan G 1
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C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers 1
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Understanding Analysts' Earnings Expectations: Biases, Nonlinearities and Predictability
Aiolfi, Marco; Rodriguez, Marius; Timmermann, Allan G - C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers - 2010
This paper studies the asymmetric behavior of negative and positive values of analysts' earnings revisions and links it to the conservatism principle of accounting. Using a new three-state mixture of log-normals model that accounts for differences in the magnitude and persistence of positive,...
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