Relevant estimation of loss reserves related to general insurance activity was and is one of the most important issues for insurance companies. Maintenance of loss reserves at the right level repre-sents the key condition of insurance monitoring authorities as the result of performance...

In response to the widespread criticism that macro-economists failed to predict the global recession coming from the GFC, we look at whether recessions in Turkey can be predicted. Because the growth in Turkish GDP is quite persistent one might expect this is possible. But it is the sign of GDP...

The skewness of the conditional return distribution plays a significant role in financial theory and practice. This paper examines whether conditional skewness of daily aggregate market returns is predictable and investigates the economic mechanisms underlying this predictability. In both...

In this article we want to know how much should be paid out by a company to its shareholders in the form of dividends. What is the effect of dividend policy on share price? A financial manager’s dividend policy objectives are to maximize owner wealth while providing adequate financing for the...