Agosto, Arianna; Giudici, Paolo - In: Risks : open access journal 8 (2020) 3/77, pp. 1-8
We present a statistical model which can be employed to understand the contagion dynamics of the COVID-19, which can heavily impact health, economics and finance. The model is a Poisson autoregression of the daily new observed cases, and can reveal whether contagion has a trend, and where is...
