Ex ante tests of the efficiency of the London options market explain alternative hedging strategies to fund managers who seek to comprehend the opportunities in the options markets and profit by potential market inefficiencies. Over and under valued options were used to form hedge portfolios,...

Refers to previous research on deciding the balance between equities and bonds in investment portfolios and puts forward a model based on a single period correlation to predict future stock‐bond correlations from past interest and growth rates. Explains the concepts involved and uses...

Outlines the UK law on insovency and asks whether the financial ratios banks use to assess credit worthiness can discriminate between the companies placed in administrative receivership (AR) by their lending banks which can or cannot be rescued. Applies both linear discriminant analysis and...

Argues that increased insolvencies in Korean firms following the 1997 Asian financial crisis were due to low profitability and refers to relevant research on insolvency and failure prediction. Explains and discusses the private and legal types of restructuring open to Korean firms in trouble,...

Predicting one’s own decision‐making policies is evidently a useful skill. How good are consumers at it? In spite of its importance, the question has not been much studied directly, although hints can be found in several parts of the literature. This article describes an experiment that...

This article considers the role of accounting in organisational decision making. It challenges the rational nature of decisions made in organisations through the use of accounting models and the problems of predicting the future through the use of such models. The use of accounting in this...

Provides a comprehensive, critical review of failure prediction with cash flow information since Beaver (1966); and tabulates the methods and cash flow variables used, and the results produced. Describes the literature as “inconsistent and inconclusive” and discusses possible reasons why,...

Outlines previous research on company failure prediction and discusses some of the methodological issues involved. Extends an earlier study (Tan 1997) using artificial neural networks (ANN) to predict financial distress in Australian credit unions by extending the forecast period of the models,...

Reviews previous research on predicting financial distress and the effects of US Chapter 11 bankruptcy (C11B); and explains how survival analysis and Cox’s (1972) proportional hazards model can be used to estimate the financial outcome for the shareholders of C11B. Reduces a previous data set...

Restates the importance of asset volatility forecasts for option pricing and portfolio management and outlines previous research on forecasting models. Discusses the relative information content and predictive power of implied and historical volatility and the existence of overreaction in option...