The Townshend–Keynes exchanges over decision making, weight of the argument (evidence), non numerical probabilities (Keynes’s term for Boole’s constituent probabilities, used in The Laws of Thought in 1854, that appears on page 163 of the A Treatise on Probability in chapter 15 on inexact...

In this paper, we model network formation and network interactions under a unified framework. The key feature of our model is to allow individuals to respond to incentives that stem from interaction benefits of certain activities when they choose friends (network links), while capturing...

In a one-step binary lying experiment, subjects privately observe a random device that indicates a low payoff with probability p or a high payoff with probability 1-p. Subjects are paid whatever they report, inducing some subjects to lie in order to receive the high payoff. Currently...

The paper studies the default probabilities of the 47 Indian firms over period of 2007 to 2013. This study uses options based method to predict the probability of default of these firms over the assessment period. We has used Black, Scholes and Merton model in this paper. The study estimates the...

The traditional derivation of risk-neutral probability in the binomial option pricing framework used in introductory mathematical finance courses is straightforward, but employs several different concepts and is is not algebraically simple. In order to overcome this drawback of the standard...

Residential mobility rates in the United States have fallen considerably over the past three decades. The cause of the long-term decline remains largely unexplained. In this paper we investigate the relative importance of alternative drivers of residential mobility, including job opportunities,...

Professor Sakai has intuitively and heuristically demonstrated correctly that Keynes's introductory diagram on page 39 of the 1921 edition (Page 42 of the CWJMK 1973 edition), which Keynes intended to be only a brief introduction illustrating his theory of measurement in chapter III of the A...