Empirical evidence suggests consumers rely on their shopping experiences to form beliefs about inflation. In other words, they "learn by shopping". I introduce this empirical observation as an informational friction in the New Keynesian model and use it to study its consequences for the...

Properties of average inflation targeting under imperfect knowledge and learning have been studied only for the Rotemberg NK model, where price stickiness arises from adjustment costs in price setting. This note fills the gap by studying average inflation targeting in the NK model with Calvo...

We introduce a novel method to elicit belief distributions and apply it to elicit inflation expectations in a representative US sample through a pre-registered survey experiment. Our approach elicits beta belief distributions directly in a two-step process. First, participants specify their...