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  • Search: subject:"regime-switching probabilities"
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AR(1) process 1 Business cycle 1 Early warning system 1 Estimation 1 Frühwarnsystem 1 Konjunktur 1 Markov chain 1 Markov-Kette 1 Probability theory 1 Schätzung 1 Theorie 1 Theory 1 Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung 1 abrupt changes 1 business cycles 1 regime-switching probabilities 1 split thresholds 1
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Habibi, Reza 1
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Financial studies 1
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A note on the early warning system of change points : combination of regime switching and threshold models
Habibi, Reza - In: Financial studies 28 (2024) 2, pp. 6-18
Abrupt changes are a prevalent feature of financial data sets, such as prices of financial assets, returns of stocks, exchange rates, etc. An early warning system (EWS) can detect existing changes and predict possible future changes before they occur. Two important statistical models for change...
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