This paper investigates the long-term causal effects of receiving an ERC grant on researcher productivity, excellence and the ability to obtain additional research funding up to nine years after grant assignment. We use data on the universe of ERC applicants between 2007-2013 and information on...

We develop a regression model for the analysis of competing risk events. The joint distribution of the time to these events is characterized by a random effect following a Dirichlet Process, explaining their variability. This entails an additional layer of flexibility of this joint model, whose...

This paper addresses the problem of modeling loss frequency using regression when the counts have a non-standard distribution. We propose a novel approach based on mixture-of-experts specifications on discrete-phase type distributions. Compared to continuous phase-type counterparts, our approach...

Variable annuities (VAs) are increasingly becoming popular insurance products in many developed countries which provide guaranteed forms of income depending on the performance of the equity market. Insurance companies often hold large VA portfolios and the associated valuation of such portfolios...

Exploiting the age-at-enrollment policies in 16 German states as exogenous source of variation, I examine whether the schooling of the oldest child in a migrant household affects parents' integration. My analysis links administrative records on primary school enrollment cutoff dates with micro...

This study examines the effect of oil revenue on unemployment in Nigeria over the period of 1970 and 2018. We examine the direct, indirect and distributional effects of oil revenue on unemployment using Autoregressive Distributed Lag (ARDL) and Quantile Regression (QR). The direct effect results...

This study proposes a novel complete subset averaging (CSA) method for high-dimensional generalized linear models based on a penalized Kullback-Leibler (KL) loss. All models under consideration can be potentially misspecified, and the dimension of covariates is allowed to diverge to infinity....