Since the beginning of the 1980s a large number of studies using a vector autoregressive (VAR) model have been made on the macroeconomic effects of oil price changes. However, surprisingly few studies have so far focused on Russia, the world’s second largest oil exporter. The purpose of this...

We propose a model diagnostic device to compare different linear and non linear parametric time series models of real GDP business cycle.The comparison appears of remarkable economic importance since different models have very different implications in term of long run persistence of negative...

This paper contributes to the literature by identifying the response patterns of direct and indirect real estate returns to shocks in the market fundamentals. The response speeds are estimated with vector autoregressive models using TBI and NAREIT returns for the period 1994-2009 in the United...

Through this paper, we seek to shed light on the divergence between expected and observed returns. Empirical theory attributes this divergence to macroeconomic fundamental shocks. We try, via an ECM model, to study the existence of co-integration relations between macroeconomic volatility and...

Many structural components designed to support static loads must also demonstrate the ability to withstand low probability events that can produce impact loading. For some constructs the structure is not only subjected to the initial impact, but is also subjected to rebound impacts as well. In...