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CLOGLOG) 1 PROBIT 1 binary dependent variable models (LOGIT 1 forecasting 1 market risk 1 state of turbulence 1 state switching models 1
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Chlebus, Marcin 1
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Ekonomia journal 1
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One-day prediction of state of turbulence for financial instrument based on models for binary dependent variable
Chlebus, Marcin - In: Ekonomia journal 37 (2014)
This paper proposes an approach to predict states (states of tranquillity and turbulence) for a financial instrument in a one-day horizon. The prediction is made using 3 different models for a binary variable (LOGIT, PROBIT, CLOGLOG), 4 definitions of a dependent variable (1%, 5%, 10%, 20% of...
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