The proposed diagnostic fills a void between widely available quantitative indicators and detailed diagnostics of the capacity of an NSS. Statistical capacity can readily be ranked across countries using publicly available scoring instruments, like the SPI. However, these indicators are not able...

We introduce generalized autoregressive gamma (GARG) processes, a class of autoregressive and moving-average processes that extends the class of existing autoregressive gamma (ARG) processes in one important dimension: each conditional moment dynamic is driven by a different and identifiable...

Missing data can significantly impact dataset integrity and suitability, leading to unreliable statistical results, distortions, and poor decisions. The presence of missing values in data introduces inaccuracies in clustering and classification and compromises the reliability and validity of...

Bayesian predictive synthesis is a flexible method of combining density predictions. The flexibility comes from the ability to choose an arbitrary synthesis function to combine predictions. I study the choice of synthesis function when combining large numbers of predictions-a common occurrence...

Predicting which firms will grow quickly and why has been the subject of research studies for many decades. Firms that grow rapidly have the potential to usher in new innovations, products or processes (Kogan et al. 2017), become superstar firms (Haltiwanger et al. 2013) and impact the aggregate...