Long-duration public bonds denominated in local currency have been traded with liquidity in Brazil since the late 2000s. I use the twelve years or so of now available data to study bond risk premia. As previously documented for the US, a single tent-shaped combination of forward rates predicts...

Housing decisions depend critically on the supply of long-term rental housing, yet surprisingly few studies examine the determinants of this supply. Based on term structure theories of asset prices and extrapolative beliefs, we hypothesize that housing market conditions shape the term structure...

Yield curve control (YCC) allows central banks to control long-term interest rates within a pre-announced trading band to complement traditional monetary policy. This note uses a target-zone model developed for exchange rates to study the bond yield movements under YCC. The bond yield is assumed...

This study finds that downside tail risk , estimated from Korean corporate bond market data, predicts the excess returns of publicly listed investment-grade bonds. In addition to (normal) value at risk, estimated assuming a normal return distribution, abnormal risk , defined as the portion of...

To what extent are currency crashes linked to sovereign defaults? Measuring their relationship is notoriously difficult because these are rare disaster events. I take a novel approach. I learn about the risk-neutral distribution of rare currency crushes from prices of far out-of-the-money (FOM)...

This research aims to study the viability of a reformed interbank rate for the Moroccan money market within the framework of the global transition of reference indices. Through the analysis of 351 days of quotation, we were able to obtain a rather encouraging result with the selected methodology...

We derive a model of bond pricing under ambiguity, showing that ambiguity interacts with risk to determine spreads. Since default is an inherently "unfavorable" outcome, ambiguity-averse bondholders overweigh its probability and demand higher yields for bonds with higher ambiguity.Empirically,...

In this paper, we estimate the impact of fundamental economic factors on corporate bond spreads in Israel. Using a database that includes all tradable corporate bonds in Israel in 2007–20, we examine if, when, and in what bond groups there was a prolonged deviation of the actual spread from...

Risk-free rates (RFRs) play a central role in the reform of interest rate benchmarks. We study a model for RFRs driven by a general affine process. In this context, under minimal assumptions, we derive explicit valuation formulas for forward-looking and backward-looking caplets/floorlets,...