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  • Search: subject:"subjective probability judgment"
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Year of publication
Subject
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subjective probability judgment 3 learning from experience 2 overestimation and underestimation 2 sampling 2 underextremity 2 Behavioral economics 1 Decision 1 Decision theory 1 Decision under uncertainty 1 Entscheidung 1 Entscheidung unter Unsicherheit 1 Entscheidungstheorie 1 Experiment 1 Learning process 1 Lernprozess 1 Probability theory 1 Rationality 1 Rationalität 1 Risiko 1 Risk 1 Sampling 1 Stichprobenerhebung 1 Verhaltensökonomik 1 Wahrscheinlichkeitsrechnung 1 description vs. experience 1 error-based models of rational judgment 1 error‐based models of rational judgment 1 information integration 1 numerical presentation format 1
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Online availability
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Free 3
Type of publication
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Article 3
Type of publication (narrower categories)
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Article 1 Article in journal 1 Aufsatz in Zeitschrift 1
Language
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English 2 Undetermined 1
Author
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Hertwig, Ralph 2 Spiliopoulos, Leonidas 2 Shlomi, Yaron 1
Published in...
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Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 1 Journal of behavioral decision making 1 Judgment and Decision Making 1
Source
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ECONIS (ZBW) 1 EconStor 1 RePEc 1
Showing 1 - 3 of 3
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Noisy Retrieval of Experienced Probabilities Underlies Rational Judgment of Uncertain Multiple Events
Spiliopoulos, Leonidas; Hertwig, Ralph - In: Journal of Behavioral Decision Making 37 (2024) 5
Learning the probabilities of multiple events from the environment is an important core competency of any organism. In our within‐participant experiment, participants experienced samples from two distributions, or prospects, each comprised of two to four events, and were required to provide...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015332721
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Cover Image
Noisy retrieval of experienced probabilities underlies rational judgment of uncertain multiple events
Spiliopoulos, Leonidas; Hertwig, Ralph - In: Journal of behavioral decision making 37 (2024) 5, pp. 1-14
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10015372155
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Subjective integration of probabilistic information from experience and description
Shlomi, Yaron - In: Judgment and Decision Making 9 (2014) 5, pp. 491-499
I report a new judgment task designed to investigate the subjective weights allotted to experience and description when integrating information from the two sources. Subjects estimated the percentage of red balls in a bag containing red and blue balls based on two samples from the bag. They...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10010929019
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