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forecast failure 1 in-sample forecasts 1 inflation level 1 inflation uncertainty 1 out-of-sample forecasts 1 rationality 1 surveys of expectations 1 temporal inconsistency 1
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Free 1
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Book / Working Paper 1
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Undetermined 1
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Silva Filho, Tito Nícias Teixeira da 1
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Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, Ludwig-Maximilians-Universität München 1
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MPRA Paper 1
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Is there too much certainty when measuring uncertainty
Silva Filho, Tito Nícias Teixeira da - Volkswirtschaftliche Fakultät, … - 2005
This paper criticises the econometric inflation uncertainty proxies found in the literature, which show an overly optimistic picture about our real ability to forecast, and highlights the sharp contrast between the evidence portrayed by that literature and the evidence conveyed by the literature...
Persistent link: https://www.econbiz.de/10005061665
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