Bernoth, Kerstin; Herwartz, Helmut; Trienens, Lasse - 2024
the US dollar exchange rate across eight advanced economies from 1980 to 2022. We find that shocks to inflation … expectations, which are closely tied to unfunded government transfer payments, have a pronounced effect on the US dollar’s value … to hold US dollar assets, have emerged over time as the most powerful driver of US dollar exchange rate fluctuations …