This paper explores empirically the link between French equities returns Value-at-Risk (VaR) and the state of financial markets cycle. The econometric analysis is based on a simple vector autoregression setup. Using quarterly data from 1970Q4 to 2008Q3, it turns out that the k-year VaR of French...

The terms of trade faced by commodity producing countries have improved markedly in recent years, generating significant changes in their economies. This paper examines the effect of these shocks on Argentina’s domestic product and trade balance. In particular, this paper attempts to verify...

Purpose The paper aims to know about energy condition’s impacts on inflation comprehensively. Design/methodology/approach This paper constructs China’s energy condition index (ECI) by bringing in three variables (China’s energy price, consumption and production) based on the financial...

This paper examines how commercial banks reacted to the changes in monetary tools in mid-1994, when The Federal Reserve Bank altered its policy by implicitly targeting the Federal Funds Rate (FFR). Prior to 1994, the FFR had a lagged effect on the prime rate that charged commercial banks their...